Damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes are possible on Thursday for southeast Texas on Thursday as thunderstorms moving through College Station, Bryan and Conroe. 

HOUSTON – is expected to return to on Thursday as a soggy setup brings plenty of to the South and into the weekend, providing beneficial moisture and relief from the Gulf Coast states to

Starting Thursday, an area of high pressure will shift east as clockwise around the high allow a southerly flow to send moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to Texas and the Gulf Coast states.

As the rain event begins in the Lone Star State, it will include a risk for severe , including , damaging and large . This slow-moving storm system will continue bringing rain from to the Carolinas through the weekend. 

The Southeast rain setup from Thursday through Sunday. 

(FOX Weather)

Severe weather threat for Texas, Gulf Coast states

There are threats of severe weather and on Thursday and Friday.

The severe weather threat is expected to develop during the late-morning hours on Thursday and continue into the evening, with the highest threat of severe storms focused over southeastern Texas, including parts of the metro area.

Severe storm threat on Thursday, Nov. 30, 2023.
(FOX Weather)


 

Forecasters with NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC) have issued for severe thunderstorms on Thursday over a small portion of southeastern Texas, including , , , and .

The highest risk will be from late Thursday morning through mid-afternoon across southeastern Texas, according to the SPC, with severe storms and a few tornadoes possible.

There is a Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe weather on Thursday in other parts of southeastern Texas, including Houston, and eastward into southwestern Louisiana, including .

Scattered thunderstorms will shift the severe weather threat into the central Gulf Coast states on Friday, where there is a Level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms in and in Louisiana and , and in Alabama.

Severe storm threat on Friday, Dec. 1, 2023.
(FOX Weather)


 

Storms could also produce flash flooding

As the rain moves into urban areas on Thursday, is possible for cities such as Houston, in Louisiana and in Arkansas.

From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning, a flash-flood threat will be possible from to , Florida.

Flash flood threat on Thursday, Nov. 30, 2023.
(FOX Weather)


 

Rain needed to lift drought conditions

The rainy forecast is much needed for and , which are facing exceptional , the worst conditions on the  

Rain forecast from Thursday through Monday.
(FOX Weather)


 

The South has some of the driest cities in the right now, including in Tennessee, in Mississippi and in Alabama. In , , and , rain totals have been more than 7 inches below average since Sept. 1.

By Friday, the system will stall over the Gulf Coast, setting Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama up for back-to-back rainy days.  

Multiple inches of rain is likely from southeastern Texas to the Florida Panhandle as the wet weather sticks around through Sunday. 

This wet pattern will likely continue next week as the FOX Forecast Center is tracking more moisture surging into the South.